Sabtu, 25 Februari 2012

PREDICTIONS ARE ALWAYS RISKY – BUT HERE IS MY TAKE ON THE GOP IMPENDING DEFEAT IN 2012

Republicans, be careful what you wish for (Credit: AP/Jae C. Hong)

I am not one to boast of having accuracy in making predictions but this one hits you in the face like a 2 X 4.

There are many factors still to be developed, many scenarios in which the GOP could salvage the mess they are in and pull a victory. I’m not saying it will not be a hollow one, it will probably be plagued with voting irregularities, voter disenfranchising and a lot of undemocratic tactics.
The economy as well is a major factor that could contribute to muddle the waters and from the looks of it the oil companies seem to be poised to bring about a substantial increase in the price of gasoline. This of course is a fabricated, deliberate attempt at sabotaging the economy with the unwavering support and consent of the Republican Party.
How all these factors will influence the way it will turn out is anybody’s guess, but should things continue on this path of self destruction by Republicans, clinging to failed ideology and economic theories that are disastrous; coupled with the extremist, social issues platform…will most likely bring about one of the biggest defeats in American political history.

Brokering a GOP disaster

“Republicans hoping for a deadlocked convention overlook the perils to the party

Some Republicans, dissatisfied with their candidates for president, have taken to openly pining for a deadlocked convention to solve their problem. Weekly Standard editor Bill Kristol wants a “deliberative”conclave in Tampa, Fla., this summer. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin says if it happens, she wants to “help.”
They should be careful what they wish for.
In the modern era since the nomination process was reformed before 1972, we’ve never had a real contested convention, and the institution that we have today isn’t built for deliberation and decision making; it’s built to formally ratify a decision made months before, and then serve as props and extras for the nominee’s multiday TV extravaganza. If the delegates were suddenly forced to make a decision, it’s not hard to imagine some of the nightmare scenarios that might develop.
How ugly could it get? What if Paul and Gingrich go off by themselves, and declare that their rump group is the real, authorized Republican National Convention and those RINOs down the street are the imposters – and the Paul/Gingrich nominee is the one who is entitled to Republican ballot slots in the fall. Hmmm … I can think of one former governor of Alaska who might be willing to head that ticket.
The truth is that Republicans are living in a fantasyif they assume that someone could just snap their fingers and 2,000-plus Republican delegates would automatically switch their loyalties to Jeb Bush or Mitch Daniels and that everything would run smoothly from that point. A sensible party would do anything possible to avoid the possibility of a true deadlocked convention.”*

Now, here comes the scary part: If all this happens and it looks like there is that possibility; then the Republicans will go on to wage one of the dirtiest, costliest and most vicious campaigns in history. The social-values issue will dominate the narrative as they can’t afford o talk about their old standard “foreign policy” and if the economic recovery continues they will not be able to rely on blaming Obama for the recovery that never happened and, by the way, they were instrumental in preventing from happening.
Then what will happen? Do you think that these assholes will be willing to go gently into the night? Do you think that those deranged followers of an askew ideology and a discredited economic theory will be honorable and accept their defeat? I should think not considering that most of those in the base are already unstable, unreasonable, radical and rabid reactionaries, racists and homophobic.
The months and years following the re-election of President Obama will see a surge in “GOING POSTAL” wingnuts throughout the country. Tragedies of the same kind as the one in Arizona or even worse like the one Timothy McVey executed in Oklahoma City.
I am hoping that I am wrong in this last outcome and that even if they don’t win the elections they are civil enough to accept an overwhelming mandate by the American people to reject their askew ideology and radical Christianist-Dominionist endeavor.
I know, I know, the argument the Republicans will give you will be: first, they are going to win and 2nd, if they are defeated they will not resort to violence. I for one find that hard to believe since there are plenty of Republicans running for office who have indicated they would favor “A SECOND AMENDMENT OPTION” if the elections don’t go their way. And lastly, the obstructionist Congress, sabotaging any and all efforts to revitalize the economy and fix the legacy of the failed Bush presidency also makes me think that they put ideology before country, their GOP party before the American people and those others in the base who are Evangelicals we know for a fact that their religion is often more important to them than family or country.
*Jonathan Bernstein writes at a Plain Blog About Politics. Follow him at @jbplainblog  More Jonathan Bernstein


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